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SYSTEMS LAB 05 Test-Time Compute Scaling SWE-bench • GPQA Diamond

Frontier AI Benchmark & Capability Lab

Comparative evaluation laboratory for frontier reasoning models. Evaluate accuracy, test-time compute expenditure, Pass@k sampling curves, and cost-per-accuracy economics across Claude 3.7 Sonnet, OpenAI o3-mini, DeepSeek-R1, and Gemini 2.0 Flash.

Model & Evaluation Setup

Select frontier reasoning system & test-time budget
Claude 3.7 Sonnet
Claude 3.7 Sonnet
Extended Thinking
OpenAI o3-mini
High Effort Reasoning
DeepSeek-R1
671B MoE Open Weights
Gemini 2.0 Flash Thinking
High-Velocity Reasoning
Grok 3 (Thinking)
100k GPU Frontier Cluster
Llama 3.3 70B
Standard Direct Decode
16,000 Tokens
1k (Fast Triage) 16k (Deep Math/Coding) 64k (Max Deliberation)
k = 1 (Standard)
Number of candidate solutions sampled in parallel. Evaluates test-time verification scaling.
Frontier Ph.D. Level

Benchmark Capability & Cost ROI

Verified scores, test-time compute gains & solution cost
State-of-the-Art
Projected Accuracy Score
70.2%
GPQA Diamond benchmark
Pass@k Ensemble Gain
+0.0%
k = 1 single solution
Cost Per Solved Problem
$0.285
Based on 16k reasoning tokens
Efficiency Metric
246 tok/%
Tokens required per % accuracy
Frontier Benchmark Suite Scores Official Verified Evals
SWE-bench Verified
70.3%
GPQA Diamond
65.0%
MATH 500
96.2%
LiveCodeBench
65.9%
MMLU-Pro
84.0%
Test-Time Compute (Inference Scaling Law) PRM / Search Scaling

Allocating 16,000 reasoning tokens allows the model to perform deep iterative self-correction and Monte Carlo Tree Search across candidate solution paths, raising GPQA Diamond accuracy from 54.0% (direct response) to 70.2%.

Verified Frontier Benchmark Comparison Matrix (2025–2026)

Model System SWE-bench Verified GPQA Diamond MATH 500 LiveCodeBench MMLU-Pro Input / Output per 1M
Claude 3.7 Sonnet (Thinking) 70.3% 65.0% 96.2% 65.9% 84.0% $3.00 / $15.00
OpenAI o3-mini (High) 49.0% 74.5% 97.9% 68.2% 82.5% $1.10 / $4.40
DeepSeek-R1 (671B MoE) 49.2% 71.5% 97.3% 65.9% 84.0% $0.55 / $2.19
Gemini 2.0 Flash Thinking 51.1% 68.4% 95.4% 61.0% 79.2% $0.10 / $0.40
Grok 3 (Reasoning) 52.4% 75.0% 98.1% 69.4% 86.2% $4.00 / $16.00
Llama 3.3 70B (Base Instruct) 38.2% 49.5% 73.8% 45.0% 71.0% $0.20 / $0.60

Foundations & Systems Architecture for AI Evaluation